อัตราคิดลด, Equity Risk Premium, เบต้า, Risk-Free, CAPM, Required rate of return คืออะไร หาจากไหน? | อัตราคิดลด | ข่าวการลงทุนที่มาแรงที่สุดในวันนี้

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นี่เป็นคำถามต่อจากวิดีโอชื่อ Discounted Cash Flow มีคนถามว่าอัตราผลตอบแทนจากทุนที่ต้องการสำหรับส่วนลด 13% มาจากไหน ในวิดีโอนั้น ผมแค่สมมุติตัวเลข ในวิดีโอนี้ เราจะมาพูดถึงรายละเอียดเพิ่มเติมว่าตัวเลขนี้มาจากไหน ลิงก์วิดีโอ – กระแสเงินสดที่มีส่วนลด : สาระสำคัญของอัตราผลตอบแทนต่อผู้ถือหุ้นที่ต้องการคืออัตราผลตอบแทนที่ต่ำที่สุดที่นักลงทุนควร สามารถคาดหวังได้ว่าเต็มใจที่จะถือหุ้นนั้น ควรสอดคล้องกับระดับความเสี่ยงในการถือหุ้นนั้น โดยปกติวิธีการหลักคือ CAPM และ Multifactor model 1. CAPM หลักการของ CAPM คืออัตราที่ต้องการของผลตอบแทนต่อหุ้น = อัตราความเสี่ยงฟรี + (ความเสี่ยงด้านตราสารทุน x เบต้า) อัตราความเสี่ยงหรือผลตอบแทนที่ปราศจากความเสี่ยง นี้นำมาจากพันธบัตรรัฐบาล ปัจจุบันยังคงมีการถกเถียงกันว่าจะใช้ผลตอบแทนระยะสั้นหรือระยะยาว แต่โดยปกติถ้าลดเงินในอนาคตเป็นเวลาหลายปีก็ควรใช้ในระยะยาวตามนั้น ค่าพรีเมี่ยมความเสี่ยงด้านทุนคือความแตกต่างระหว่างผลตอบแทนของตลาดหุ้นโดยรวมและผลตอบแทนที่ไม่เสี่ยงเลย มีสองวิธีหลักในการได้มา: Historical (ข้อมูลจริง) หรือ Forward-Looking (พยากรณ์อนาคต) ซึ่งยากมากสำหรับเราที่จะทำเองเพราะไม่มีข้อมูลหรือเราต้องมานั่งเดาตัวแปรที่ยากในชีวิต เราใช้สิ่งที่คนอื่นทำไปแล้ว นี่เป็นของคุณ Aswath Damodaran Beta หรือหุ้นที่เรากำลังดูมีการเคลื่อนไหวโดยเฉลี่ยเมื่อเทียบกับตลาด CAPM ดูสิ่งนี้เป็นตัวบ่งชี้ว่าหุ้นมีความเสี่ยงหรือมีความเสี่ยงน้อยกว่าตลาดทั่วไป คุณสามารถหามันได้โดยทำการถดถอย ซึ่งเราอาจไม่ได้ทำเอง คุณสามารถค้นหาได้ที่ www.investing.com หรือ www.morningstar.com ซึ่งทั้งสองอย่างนี้ควรเป็นข้อมูลรายเดือนเป็นระยะเวลา 5 ปี อัตราผลตอบแทนที่ต้องการของ CPALL = 1.56%+(6.77%x0.78) = 6.84% 2. Multifactor model อันนี้ขึ้นมาหลังจากที่เขาพบว่าการใช้ Beta ของ CAPM ยังไม่สะท้อนความเสี่ยงของหุ้นอย่างเต็มที่ จึงมีคนพยายามค้นหาตัวแปรอื่นๆ ที่มีชื่อเสียงคือ Fama-French ซึ่งใช้ตัวแปร 3 ตัว ได้แก่ Equity risk premium, small-cap risk premium และ value premium ซึ่งฉันไม่รู้ว่าต้องทำจริงๆหรือเปล่า คุณมาจากที่ไหน? เห็นได้ชัดว่าการหาอัตราผลตอบแทนต่อส่วนของผู้ถือหุ้นที่ต้องการไม่ใช่วิธีการที่ชัดเจนเพียงอย่างเดียว อย่างที่ฉันพูดไป ไม่มีทางที่จะประเมินมูลค่าของบริษัทที่ถูกต้องได้ เราต้องเข้าใจข้อจำกัดของมันและใช้อย่างถูกต้องเป็นเครื่องมือในการประมาณค่าคร่าวๆ คุณสามารถแสดงความคิดเห็น ติดตามข่าวสารของเราบน Facebook หรืออ่านบทความอื่นๆ ของเราบนเว็บ ..

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อัตราคิดลด, Equity Risk Premium, เบต้า, Risk-Free, CAPM, Required rate of return คืออะไร หาจากไหน? ข้อมูล ที่เกี่ยวข้องกับ} .

อัตราคิดลด, Equity Risk Premium, เบต้า, Risk-Free, CAPM, Required rate of return  คืออะไร หาจากไหน?
อัตราคิดลด, Equity Risk Premium, เบต้า, Risk-Free, CAPM, Required rate of return คืออะไร หาจากไหน?

>>สามารถดูข้อมูลเพิ่มเติมที่เกี่ยวข้องกับเกมไก่หัวข้อเกมได้ที่นี่: ดูความรู้ใหม่เพิ่มเติมที่นี่.

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อัตราคิดลด – การค้นหาที่เกี่ยวข้อง.

#อตราคดลด #Equity #Risk #Premium #เบตา #RiskFree #CAPM #Required #rate #return #คออะไร #หาจากไหน.

Smart stock investment,Discount rate,Beta,ความเสี่ยง,อัตราผลคอบแทนที่คาดหวัง,r หาจากไหน,rate หาจากไหน,i หาจากไหน,Fama-French,MultiFactor Model

อัตราคิดลด, Equity Risk Premium, เบต้า, Risk-Free, CAPM, Required rate of return คืออะไร หาจากไหน?

อัตราคิดลด.

เราหวังว่า ความรู้ ในหัวข้อ อัตราคิดลด นี้จะ นำความรู้ มาสู่คุณ.

3,266 thoughts on “อัตราคิดลด, Equity Risk Premium, เบต้า, Risk-Free, CAPM, Required rate of return คืออะไร หาจากไหน? | อัตราคิดลด | ข่าวการลงทุนที่มาแรงที่สุดในวันนี้”

  1. ขอสอบถามหน่อยครับ

    จากโมเดล CAPM ที่กล่าวมา ค่าของ Market Risk Premium (Rm – Rf) มีค่าเป็นลบได้หรือไม่

    ถ้ามีค่าเป็นลบได้ แล้วเส้น Security Market Line (SML) จะเป็น Slope ที่ลาดลง ใช่หรือไม่ หากเบต้ามีค่าเป็นบวก ครับ

    Reply
  2. ขอบคุณสำหรับคลิปมากๆครับ ได้ความรู้มากทีเดียว ผมสงสัยว่าผมเคยอ่านผ่านๆใน essay of warren buffett ว่าเค้าไม่ชอบ Beta แล้วเค้าใช้อะไรในการประเมิน intrinsic value เหรอครับ

    Reply
  3. ขอบคุณมากครับ จากใจคนที่ไม่มีพื้นฐานด้าน accounting, economic เข้าใจได้ง่ายมากครับ

    กำลัง develop investment model ของตัวเอง คลิปช่วยได้มากเลยครับ ไม่กั๊กความรู้เลยจริงๆ 😁 เอาใจช่วยให้ทำต่อไปนะครับ

    Reply
  4. กำลังทำ project มหาลัยที่ต้องใช้ CAMP ในการคำนวนเลยครับ ขอบคุณคลิปนี้มากไม่งั้นผมไม่รู้เลยว่าต้องเริ่มจากตรงไหน

    Reply
  5. ฟังแล้วเข้าใจมากขึ้น แล้วรู้เลยว่าควรหาข้อมูลแต่ละค่าจากไหนบ้าง ขอบคุณมากครับบบบ

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